It is reported that the European Central Bank is considering cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in the next two meetings. According to informed sources, as the inflation rate stabilizes at the target of 2% and economic growth is sluggish, ECB officials plan to cut interest rates by another 25 basis points in January, and there may be another one in March. People familiar with the matter said that as long as the economic development meets current expectations, gradually reducing the borrowing cost is the most appropriate path. They believe that cutting interest rates by 50 basis points at a time in an emergency is still an option, but this move may convey an unexpected sense of urgency. According to people familiar with the matter, officials have not yet made any decision, and every meeting will be evaluated based on all available information, even after March. They stressed that once the situation becomes clearer after Trump takes office in January, the policy inclination of the central bank may change.The self-built valuation model of bank wealth managers has met with "standardization": some institutions have re-adopted the strategy of excess return of the bank's tier-2 capital bonds with the valuation system of China Securities and China Securities, and recently, the regulatory authorities issued a document to the bank wealth management subsidiary, demanding that the self-built valuation model should not be used to smooth the net value fluctuation, and the valuation standards provided by third parties such as China Securities and China Securities should be adopted, and self-inspection and rectification should be carried out. The purpose of this move is to prevent the bank's wealth management subsidiaries from adjusting product income through self-built models, and to carry out "fund pool" business in disguise to ensure market fairness. At present, a number of bank wealth management subsidiaries have received this document, and have begun to adjust the net value calculation methods of day-opening and closed wealth management products, and re-adopt third-party valuation for investment products such as bank tier 2 capital bonds. A person from a bank financing subsidiary told reporters that he heard that the financial supervision department held a small-scale meeting last week, asking the bank financing subsidiary to respect the new asset management rules and not to violate accounting standards. In addition, the relevant departments also require the financial subsidiaries of banks that have used the self-built valuation model to carry out rectification, and the financial subsidiaries that have been notified shall submit corresponding rectification plans and measures reports within one month. In the view of the above-mentioned bank wealth managers, it is not excluded that some bank wealth management subsidiaries have lowered the allocation ratio of bank tier-2 capital bonds due to the influence of regulatory policies, because when the self-built valuation model is "standardized", the strategy of over-allocating bank tier-2 capital bonds to obtain excess returns becomes increasingly difficult when the net product value fluctuates relatively smoothly. (per meridian)International oil prices fell on the 12th. As of the close of the day, the light crude oil futures price for January delivery in the New York Mercantile Exchange fell by 27 cents to close at 70.02 US dollars per barrel, a decrease of 0.38%. London Brent crude oil futures for February delivery in 2025 fell 11 cents to close at $73.41 a barrel, a decrease of 0.15%.
The self-built valuation model of bank wealth managers has met with "standardization": some institutions have re-adopted the strategy of excess return of the bank's tier-2 capital bonds with the valuation system of China Securities and China Securities, and recently, the regulatory authorities issued a document to the bank wealth management subsidiary, demanding that the self-built valuation model should not be used to smooth the net value fluctuation, and the valuation standards provided by third parties such as China Securities and China Securities should be adopted, and self-inspection and rectification should be carried out. The purpose of this move is to prevent the bank's wealth management subsidiaries from adjusting product income through self-built models, and to carry out "fund pool" business in disguise to ensure market fairness. At present, a number of bank wealth management subsidiaries have received this document, and have begun to adjust the net value calculation methods of day-opening and closed wealth management products, and re-adopt third-party valuation for investment products such as bank tier 2 capital bonds. A person from a bank financing subsidiary told reporters that he heard that the financial supervision department held a small-scale meeting last week, asking the bank financing subsidiary to respect the new asset management rules and not to violate accounting standards. In addition, the relevant departments also require the financial subsidiaries of banks that have used the self-built valuation model to carry out rectification, and the financial subsidiaries that have been notified shall submit corresponding rectification plans and measures reports within one month. In the view of the above-mentioned bank wealth managers, it is not excluded that some bank wealth management subsidiaries have lowered the allocation ratio of bank tier-2 capital bonds due to the influence of regulatory policies, because when the self-built valuation model is "standardized", the strategy of over-allocating bank tier-2 capital bonds to obtain excess returns becomes increasingly difficult when the net product value fluctuates relatively smoothly. (per meridian)Minister of Transport of the Syrian Transitional Government: Aleppo Airport is ready, and the civil airport is trying to recover. On the evening of the 12th local time, the Minister of Transport of the Syrian Transitional Government said that he was working hard to prepare for the recovery of the Syrian civil airport for planes to take off and land. At the same time, the department is also coordinating the operational procedures for transit with neighboring countries. The minister said that in the next few hours, Syrian airspace will be opened to air traffic. At present, Aleppo International Airport in Syria is ready, and Syria will announce the operation dates of Damascus International Airport and Aleppo International Airport in the next few days.Peng Qinghua met with Babacov, Vice Chairman of Russian State Duma, and Peng Qinghua, Vice Chairman of the National People's Congress Standing Committee (NPCSC), met with Babacov, Vice Chairman of Russian State Duma, in Beijing on the 13th. The two sides indicated that they will jointly implement the important consensus reached by the two heads of state, make good use of the platform of the joint working group of the Sino-Russian Parliamentary Cooperation Committee, deepen exchanges and cooperation between legislative bodies, and promote the further development of China-Russia comprehensive strategic partnership of cooperation in the new era. (Xinhua News Agency)
Ukrainian Ministry of Agriculture: It is estimated that Ukraine's grain output will be close to 55 million tons in 2024, compared with the previous estimate of 54 million tons. It is estimated that Ukraine's grain exports in 2024/25 may include 16.2 million tons of wheat, 20.5 million tons of corn and 2.9 million tons of barley. It is estimated that Ukraine's total grain export in 2024/25 will be 40.3 million tons, compared with 51 million tons in 2023/24.Huangshan Capsule: It is planned to distribute a cash dividend of 0.27 yuan for every 10 shares. Huangshan Capsule announced that the company held the board of directors and the board of supervisors on December 13, 2024, and reviewed and approved the profit distribution plan for the first three quarters of 2024. According to the plan, the company plans to distribute a cash dividend of RMB27 to all shareholders for every 10 shares based on the existing total share capital of 299 million shares, with a total cash dividend of RMB8,075,700. This profit distribution will not send bonus shares, and capital reserve will not be converted into share capital.The President of Belarus approved the national defense plan for 2026-2030. According to the website of the President of Belarus on the 12th, President Lukashenko approved the national defense plan for 2026-2030 at the meeting of the Belarusian Security Council that day. Lukashenko pointed out at the meeting that in recent years, the military and political situation around Belarus has deteriorated, individual countries have escalated the situation around Belarus, and European countries' destructive remarks against Belarus have also increased. He stressed that the Belarusian army poses no threat to any country, is a tool to prevent war, and will repel the enemy when the country is invaded.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14